Stsenarnyi analiz kak instrument formirovaniia strategii razvitiia otrasli
Proceeding
- Published in:
- All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference «Modern trends in management, economics and business: from theory to practice»
- Author:
- Daria K. Popenkova 1
- Work direction:
- Историко-теоретические аспекты экономики и предпринимательства
- Pages:
- 21-24
- Received: 18 September 2023
- Rating:
- Article accesses:
- 481
- Published in:
- РИНЦ
- APA
For citation:
Popenkova D. K. (2023). Stsenarnyi analiz kak instrument formirovaniia strategii razvitiia otrasli. Modern trends in management, economics and business: from theory to practice, 21-24. Чебоксары: PH "Sreda".
Abstract
Статья посвящена методологии разработки стратегии развития отрасли через такой инструмент как сценарный анализ. Определена сущность сценарного планирования, рассмотрены этапы формирования сценариев.
References
- 1. Amer M., Daim T. U., Jetter A. A review of scenario planning // Futures. – 2013. – Т. 46. – С. 23–40.
- 2. Blanken L. J. Reconciling strategic studies… with itself: a common framework for choosing among strategies // Defense & Security Analysis. – 2012. – Т. 28. – № 4. – С. 275–287.
- 3. Bradfield R. et al. The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning // Futures. – 2005. – Т. 37. – №. 8. – С. 795–812.
- 4. Bryant B. P., Lempert R. J. Thinking inside the box: A participatory, computer-assisted approach to scenario discovery // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. – 2010. – Т. 77. – №. 1. – С. 34–49.
- 5. Huss W. R., Honton E. J. Scenario planning-what style should you use? // Long range planning. – 1987. – Т. 20. – №. 4. – С. 21–29.
- 6. Kosow H., Gaßner R. Methods of future and scenario analysis: overview, assessment, and selection criteria. – DEU, 2008. – Т. 39. – С. 133.
- 7. Kwakkel J. H., Auping W. L., Pruyt E. Dynamic scenario discovery under deep uncertainty: The future of copper // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. – 2013. – Т. 80. – №. 4. – С. 789–800.
- 8. Ramirez R. et al. Scenarios as a scholarly methodology to produce “interesting research” // Futures. – 2015. – Т. 71. – С. 70–87.
- 9. Schwartz P. The art of the long view: planning for the future in an uncertain world. – Currency, 2012.
- 10. Wack P. Scenarios: uncharted waters ahead // Harvard business review. – 1985. – Т. 63. – №. 5. – С. 72–89
- 11. Wright G., Goodwin P. Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: Enhancing the scenario method // International Journal of Forecasting. – 2009. – Т. 25. – №. 4. – С. 813–825.
Comments(0)