The impact of geopolitical factors on company value

Proceeding
DOI: 10.31483/r-109487
Open Access
International Research-to-practice conference «Relevant issues of management, economics and economic security»
Creative commons logo
Published in:
International Research-to-practice conference «Relevant issues of management, economics and economic security»
Authors:
Leonid R. Nikulin 1 , Natalia S. Semina 1 , Daria I. Nazarova 1
Scientific adviser:
Iuliia S. Tsertseil1
Work direction:
Анализ и прогнозирование основных тенденций современной экономики на макро-, мезо- и микроуровне
Pages:
166-178
Received: 16 December 2023

Rating:
Article accesses:
894
Published in:
РИНЦ
1 FSBEI of HE "Plekhanov Russian University of Economics"
For citation:
Nikulin L. R., Semina N. S., & Nazarova D. I. (2023). The impact of geopolitical factors on company value. Relevant issues of management, economics and economic security, 166-178. Чебоксары: PH "Sreda". https://doi.org/10.31483/r-109487

Abstract

In order to understand the influence of geopolitical factors on the value of the company the value of PJSC Sberbank will be estimated using dividend discount model and earning multiplier and after that compared with values of JPMorgan Chase and HSBC banks which will be calculated using same methods in order to estimate the discount that Russian bank will have in comparison with American and British banks that are supposed to have zero discount since those countries are considered as the most stable and economically developed in the world thus it makes sense to calculate discount rate based on their prices. Also, a regression model which will analyze factors that can affect the price of stocks of those banks will be considered, and if the results for Russian and Western banks are too different, it becomes possible to estimate the error (discount) which is applied when pricing Russian assets.

References

  1. 1. Annual report 2022 [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://www.sberbank.com/common/img/uploaded/_new_site/com/gosa2023/sber-ar-2022-en.pdf (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  2. 2. Dividends [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://www.sberbank.com/ru/investor-relations/dividends (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  3. 3. Ministry of Finance expect Sber dividends «not less 50%» from net income [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://www.forbes.ru/finansy/498523-minfin-zalozil-v-proekt-budzeta-dividendy-sberbanka-ne-menee-50-cistoj-pribyli (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  4. 4. Fitch Affirms Sberbank of Russia and Sberbank Leasing at 'BBB'; Outlooks Stable [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://www.fitchratings.com/research/banks/fitch-affirms-sberbank-of-russia-sberbank-leasing-at-bbb-outlooks-stable-19–07–2021#:~:text=Fitch%20Ratings%20-%20Moscow%20-%2019%20Jul,VR (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  5. 5. HSBC Dividend History [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/hsbc/dividend-history (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  6. 6. HSBC Gross Profit 2010–2023 | HSBC [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/HSBC/hsbc/gross-profit (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  7. 7. HSBA.LHSBC Holdings PLC [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://valueinvesting.io/HSBA.L/valuation/ddm-stable (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  8. 8. JPM Dividend History [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/jpm/dividend-history (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  9. 9. JPMorgan Chase & Co [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://valueinvesting.io/JPM/valuation/ddm-stable (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  10. 10. JPMorgan Chase Gross Profit 2010–2023 | JPM [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/JPM/jpmorgan-chase/gross-profit#:~:text=JPMorgan%20Chase%20gross%20profit%20for%20the%20twelve%20months%20ending%20September,a%201.42%25%20increase%20from%202020 (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  11. 11. SBER.ME Relative Valuation [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://valueinvesting.io/SBER.ME/valuation/pe-multiples (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  12. 12. SBER.ME Sberbank Rossii PAO [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://valueinvesting.io/SBER.ME/valuation/wacc (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  13. 13. Sberbank (SBER) multiplier P/E (price/earnings) IFRS (annual data) [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://smart-lab.ru/q/SBER/MSFO/p_e/ (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  14. 14. Top Russian companies by P/E ratio [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://companiesmarketcap.com/russia/russian-companies-ranked-by-pe-ratio/ (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  15. 15. View on BIST index [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://ru.tradingview.com/chart/nTbcQL3T/?symbol=BIST%3AXU100 (date of access: 23.11.2023).
  16. 16. Why Does JPMorgan Chase’s Stock Seem so Cheap? [Electronic resource]. – Access mode: https://www.fool.com/investing/2017/07/07/why-does-jpmorgan-chases-stock-seem-so-cheap.aspx (date of access: 23.11.2023).

Comments(0)

When adding a comment stipulate:
  • the relevance of the published material;
  • general estimation (originality and relevance of the topic, completeness, depth, comprehensiveness of topic disclosure, consistency, coherence, evidence, structural ordering, nature and the accuracy of the examples, illustrative material, the credibility of the conclusions;
  • disadvantages, shortcomings;
  • questions and wishes to author.