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List of publications on a keyword: «forecast»

  • Paired regression as a tool for studying the relationship between the standard of living of the population and economic growth in the Magadan region

    Proceeding
    Law, Economics and Management
    Author:
    Polina N. Mal'tseva
    Work direction:
    Основные аспекты экономической теории, теории экономических процессов, экономической истории.
    Abstract:
    Based on subjective statistical data, linear and exponential models of paired regression were considered, an assessment of the obtained models was carried out based on the interpretation of the magnitude of the approximation error, the coefficient of determination and the Fisher criterion, and the possibilities of using the models for practical use were considered.
    Keywords:
    forecasting, Paired regression of population income, GRP, econometric model, approximation error, Fisher's exact test, coefficient of determination, correlation coefficient
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  • Application of the case method in financial planning training: sales forecasting

    Book Chapter
    Current issues of pedagogy and psychology
    Author:
    Alla A. Osipova
    Work direction:
    Глава 11
    Abstract:
    The chapter discusses the methodology of conducting a group case study on sales forecasting based on expert interviews as part of the Financial Planning and Forecasting discipline. The relevance of using the case method in the educational process is substantiated, allowing for a synergistic (multi-educational) effect on the formation of students' competencies. A detailed algorithm for organizing and conducting a case study on the topic of Sales Forecasting is proposed, accompanied by information on material support and risk management. This chapter is intended for teachers of economic disciplines who are interested in implementing interactive teaching methods, and it may be useful in developing practice-oriented courses in financial disciplines.
    Keywords:
    financial planning, educational outcomes, case method, case task structure, case-based lesson organization, sales forecasting
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  • Theoretical and practical aspects of mathematical modeling and forecasting in sports

    Book Chapter
    Theoretical and practical aspects of pedagogy and psychology
    Author:
    Elena G. Kostenko
    Work direction:
    Глава 5
    Abstract:
    The use of mathematical modeling and forecasting methods in sports is becoming increasingly relevant. Mathematical modeling and forecasting methods not only help to improve athletes' performance and optimize the training process, but also contribute to more effective management of sports organizations. In the context of growing competition in the sports arena, the use of scientific approaches is becoming necessary to achieve success.
    Keywords:
    analysis, modeling, digital technologies, sports, forecasting
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  • Mathematical principles of data processing in the sports industry

    Book Chapter
    Modern issues of pedagogy and psychology: theoretical and methodological approaches and practical research results
    Author:
    Elena G. Kostenko
    Work direction:
    Глава 20
    Abstract:
    Statistical research methods are used in all areas of the sports industry. Mathematical data processing is a basic tool for increasing the efficiency of the training process, analyzing athletes' technique, predicting competition results, modeling individual training programs and maintaining athletes' health.
    Keywords:
    analysis, modeling, physical education, evaluation, sports, forecasting, statistical analysis, mathematical data processing
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  • Digitalization of the sports economy in Russia: problems and prospects

    Book Chapter
    Vectors of socio-economic development in Russia. Modern challenges and opportunities
    Author:
    Elena G. Kostenko
    Work direction:
    Глава 8
    Abstract:
    The latest technologies are being actively introduced into the Russian sports industry, opening up new opportunities for all participants in the sports process. Digitalization of the sports economy opens up new prospects for increasing the efficiency of development of all areas of physical culture. According to the author, in the future, the role of information systems in football will only grow, making the sport even more entertaining and accessible.
    Keywords:
    Management, data analysis, planning, information systems, forecasting, digital platforms
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  • Using artificial intelligence to improve business efficiency

    Proceeding
    Innovative approaches to management in economic, technical and legal systems
    Author:
    Inna G. Iglinskaia
    Work direction:
    Информационные технологии в управлении бизнесом
    Abstract:
    The article examines the role of artificial intelligence (AI) in improving the efficiency of business processes. In the context of rapid technological progress, companies are faced with the need to adapt to new realities, and AI is becoming a key tool for achieving competitive advantages. The main areas of AI application are analyzed, including automation of routine tasks, improvement of customer service, forecasting consumer behavior and optimization of resource management. Special attention is paid to examples of successful AI implementation in various industries such as finance, retail and manufacturing. The challenges and risks associated with the integration of AI into business, including issues of ethics and data protection, are also discussed. The article emphasizes the importance of a strategic approach to the introduction of AI technologies, as well as the need to train personnel to work with new tools. In conclusion, conclusions are drawn about the prospects of using AI to in
    Keywords:
    competitive advantages, machine learning, digital transformation, data analysis, personnel training, forecasting, artificial intelligence (AI), data protection, business efficiency, process automation, customer service, resource optimization, business innovation, AI ethics, strategic implementation
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  • Информационные технологии в сфере бизнеса

    Proceeding
    Law, Economics and Management
    Authors:
    Polina S. Shirchkova, Tatyana L. Fomicheva
    Work direction:
    Экономика предпринимательства
    Abstract:
    The article examines the use of information tools in business and their importance for improving communication and collaboration. Key examples of the use of information technology in business and marketing are given, including the introduction of chatbots, artificial intelligence and machine learning to analyze consumer behavior.
    Keywords:
    information technology, efficiency, artificial intelligence, marketing, automation, cybersecurity, business analytics and forecasting
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  • The Foundations and Prospects of Staffing the Economy

    Book Chapter
    Development of the Russian socio-economic system: challenges and prospects
    Author:
    Nadezhda V. Medvedeva
    Work direction:
    Глава 4
    Abstract:
    The chapter examines the issues of staffing the economy in the context of the groundwork and prospects. The prerequisites for updating the topic of staffing the economy are highlighted and the urgent problems hindering technological development are systematized. Attention is focused on forecasting personnel needs as the main mechanism for overcoming imbalances between the needs of the economy in personnel and the capabilities of the education system. Scientific and normative methods and models of forecasting personnel needs are investigated, typical metrics are generalized. The interrelationships between the priorities of socio-economic development of the subjects of the Russian Federation and staffing and staff shortage are analyzed. The limitations of forecasting methods for personnel needs are systematized. Special attention is paid to approaches to ensuring the human resources needs of the economy for the purposes of forming a national project and implementing the goals of technological development. The continuity of the components of the methodology for forecasting personnel needs of the new format and qualitative changes in the set of statistical data and approaches to the selection of a source base for the purpose of forecasting personnel needs are reflected.
    Keywords:
    economy, personnel, forecasting, qualified personnel, forecast, technological sovereignty, staffing of the economy, deficit, imbalance
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  • Financial health of the company as a factor of the company's strategic development

    Proceeding
    Relevant problems of modern science and education
    Authors:
    Iuliia S. Kornilova, Iuliia S. Tsertseil
    Work direction:
    Инновационный опыт в науке и образовании в современном обществе
    Abstract:
    This article considers various methods of assessing the probability of bankruptcy of the company. It describes the main statistical models and their application for forecasting the financial condition of the company on the example of PJSC Tatneft. Also analyzes the factors that may affect the investment attractiveness of the company. In conclusion, the author draws a conclusion about how effectively the company uses its cash and suggests measures to improve some financial indicators.
    Keywords:
    bankruptcy, oil industry, financial stability, PJSC Tatneft, Altman’s model, Taffler’s model, Springate’s model, forecasting models
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  • Financial Planning and Forecasting in a Company

    Proceeding
    Strategies of Sustainable Development: Social, Law and External-economic Aspects
    Authors:
    Aleksei A. Saranov, Danil I. Bekeshev, Egor V. Kulakov, Agniia S. Iusupova
    Work direction:
    Вопросы социально-экономической эффективности предприятий
    Abstract:
    Financial planning and forecasting play a crucial role in managing a company's finances. It involves the process of developing strategic and operational plans, defining financial goals, evaluating financial resources, and predicting future financial outcomes. This topic covers key aspects of financial planning and forecasting, including methods and tools such as budgeting, financial ratio analysis, the use of financial models, and forecasting techniques. It also discusses the benefits and challenges that companies face in implementing financial planning and forecasting.
    Keywords:
    challenges, budgeting, financial resources, forecasting, financial planning, strategic plan, operational plan, financial goals, financial ratio analysis, financial models, forecasting techniques, benefits
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  • Assessment of the probability of bankruptcy of PJSC Lukoil

    Proceeding
    Relevant issues of management, economics and economic security
    Authors:
    Ekaterina A. Smolenkova, Iuliia S. Tsertseil
    Work direction:
    Анализ и прогнозирование основных тенденций современной экономики на макро-, мезо- и микроуровне
    Abstract:
    The article describes bankruptcy issues and information on conducting an assessment of the probability of assessing the bankruptcy of companies. Based on the data from the accounting statements of the oil and gas company PJSC Lukoil, the probability of bankruptcy of the company was assessed using four bankruptcy forecasting models. The article presents the conclusions of the analysis, evaluates the success of the introduction of the financial policy of the company.
    Keywords:
    bankruptcy, bankruptcy assessment, Lukoil, five-factor model, financial policy, bankruptcy forecasting models, Chesser`s model, Altman`s model, Belikov-Davydova`s model, Zaitseva`s model
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  • Valuation of the Company Using the Discounted Cash Flow Model

    Proceeding
    Modern trends in management, economics and business: from theory to practice
    Authors:
    Ekaterina V. Pariugina, Iuliia S. Tsertseil
    Work direction:
    Финансовые аспекты развития предпринимательства
    Abstract:
    The article considers the process of assessing the value of a company using the discounted cash flow model within the framework of the income approach. The author describes the theoretical foundations of the discounted cash flow model and compares the features of different approaches to this method in the modern literature. The author carries out the detailed company valuation using the discounted cash flow model on the example of the company «X5 Group». The author assessed the value of the company «X5 Group» using the discounted cash flow model. The real example of the company valuation shown in the article is useful for the company for making managerial decisions in the future.
    Keywords:
    valuation of the company, income approach, discounted cash flow model, free cash flow to the firm, forecasting future cash flows, expected growth rate, discounting, present value, discount rate, terminal value
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  • Ekonomicheskoe razvitie kak faktor obespecheniia sotsial'noi spravedlivosti: prognoz i mery gosudarstvennogo vozdeistviia

    Book Chapter
    Law and economic development: current issues
    Author:
    Veronika B. Batievskaia
    Work direction:
    Глава 1
    Abstract:
    The chapter provides a comparative description of the concepts of economic growth and economic justice, and proposes indicators that characterize them. A forecast of the dynamics of economic development indicators was constructed using the extrapolation method until 2027, which gave a steady downward trend in growth. To prevent negative trends in economic development, measures of government influence on the economy are proposed, which should be carried out in three stages: determining the goals of economic development; analysis of the strengths and weaknesses of socio-economic relations within the country, as well as threats and opportunities from foreign counterparties; implementation of existing advantages into active moves and the formation of new ones. It is concluded that the successful socio-economic development of Russia should lead it to the establishment of social justice. An analysis of various approaches to the definition of the concept of «social justice» is made.
    Keywords:
    forecast, government regulation, economic growth and development, social justice, extrapolation method
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  • ON THE APPLICATION OF AN INTELLIGENT DIGITAL MONITORING SYSTEM FOR FORECASTING AND ANALYZING STUDENTS' ACADEMIC PERFORMANCE

    Proceeding
    Psychological and Pedagogical Research – Tula Region
    Author:
    Svetlana S. Brazhnikova
    Work direction:
    Psychological and Pedagogic Aspects of Control in Educational System
    Abstract:
    The article considers current aspects of intelligent digital monitoring systems in the context of predicting and analyzing the progress of students, presents an analysis of blended learning experiences and existing digital learning resources that enable both the collection of preliminary data to further model and predict student behavior, and to build an individual educational trajectory.
    Keywords:
    artificial intelligence, digital transformation, forecasting, intelligent systems, academic progress analysis
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  • Analysis and forecasting of socio-economic development of the Rostov region

    Proceeding
    Relevant issues of management, economics and economic security
    Authors:
    Anastasiia A. Antonova, Galina S. Shelkopliasova
    Work direction:
    Анализ и прогнозирование основных тенденций современной экономики на макро-, мезо- и микроуровне
    Abstract:
    The article examines the essence of the socio-economic development of the Rostov region and the influence of factors on it. The analysis of the dynamics of the region's development over three years has been carried out. The forecast of the growth of socio-economic development of the Rostov region is made taking into account the recommendations of the regional government.
    Keywords:
    analysis, factors, socio-economic development, forecast, Rostov region, level
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  • Econometric modeling of the number of small and medium-sized businesses in the Southern Federal District

    Proceeding
    Law, Economics and Management
    Authors:
    Tatiana A. Ershova, Natalia V. Burianova
    Work direction:
    Общие вопросы экономических наук
    Abstract:
    The article builds an econometric additive time series model based on quarterly data on the number of small and medium-sized businesses in the Southern Federal District, and also calculates a forecast for the data of the indicator under consideration for the 3rd and 4th quarters of 2022.
    Keywords:
    small business, forecast, medium business, SMEs, seasonality, additive model
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  • PROGNOSTIC FUNCTION OF RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL LEGAL PROBLEMS OF MODERNITY

    Proceeding
    Law, Economics and Management
    Author:
    Liliia S. Karimova
    Work direction:
    Международное право
    Abstract:
    This article discusses the key issues of forecasting in the theory of international law and international relations. It is concluded that the prognostic method includes socio-legal methods of collecting and studying individual facts and phenomena, statistical-mathematical and empirical methods.
    Keywords:
    mathematical method, international law, international relations, legal monitoring, predictive method, prognostic method, statistical method, theoretical method, legal forecasting
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  • Metodicheskie problemy protsessa ekonomicheskogo prognozirovaniia v sisteme nedropol'zovaniia

    Book Chapter
    Economics and Law
    Author:
    Cergei A. Miasoedov
    Work direction:
    Глава 1. Экономика и менеджмент
    Abstract:
    The main problems of forecasting in the subsurface use system are considered, and basic forecasting methods, including those used in practice, are reflected. The main task of forecasting in the mining industry is aimed not only at obtaining maximum profit at minimum costs, but also at forming the foundations for sustainable development of the mining industry. The paper reflects the main distinctive features of the forecasting system in the field of subsurface use and highlights the properties of the dynamics of the subsurface use system that must be taken into account when forecasting.
    Keywords:
    subsurface use, forecasting, sustainable development of the mining industry, metal mining
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  • The Role of Learning Analytics in Implantation of Open, Flexible and Distant Learning

    Proceeding
    Psychologically Safe Educational Environment: Design Problems and Development Prospects
    Author:
    Sergei A. Griaznov
    Work direction:
    Creating a psychologically comfortable and safe educational environment: technologies, diagnostics, practice, expertise
    Abstract:
    The article explores the possibilities of formal and non-formal learning via open, flexible and distant learning (OFDL) models, which are important elements within the broader education system. The author reviews foreign articles on this issue and concludes that it is necessary to experiment with open, flexible models and technologies of teaching and learning that can create socially engaged and active learning contexts.
    Keywords:
    data mining, open, flexible and distant learning (OFDL), achievement forecasting
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  • MODERN MODELS AND METHODS FOR FORECASTING THE REAL ESTATE MARKET TAKING INTO ACCOUNT POSIBLE RISKS

    Proceeding
    Law, economics and management: current issues
    Authors:
    Iuliia A. Golikova, Adel V. Kinzibulatova
    Work direction:
    Экономика предпринимательства
    Abstract:
    The features of the real estate market are noted, as well as the stages of its analysis, the last of which is forecasting. The subject of forecasting in the real estate market is described. The article makes a chronological analysis of the used approaches to forecasting in Russian practice in conditions of economic transformation and new risks in real estate market at the turn of the 20th – 21st centuries. The main problems of forecasting the real estate market in Russia are formulated, as well as ways to solve them.
    Keywords:
    real estate market, real estate market analysis and forecasting, fundamental analysis, technical analysis, quantitative and qualitative methods of market analysis and forecasting
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